Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.384740 0.418368 0.454700 0.497066 0.545355 0.598971 0.663414
2025-11-02 0.321019 0.366217 0.418638 0.484706 0.566890 0.667332 0.801928
2025-11-09 0.283605 0.333693 0.394555 0.475449 0.582550 0.723195 0.928641
2025-11-16 0.257291 0.309778 0.375834 0.467331 0.594672 0.772187 1.051723
2025-11-23 0.237353 0.291128 0.360773 0.460615 0.605639 0.818755 1.178388
2025-11-30 0.226320 0.282606 0.357565 0.468755 0.637434 0.899399 1.376134
2025-12-07 0.213762 0.270743 0.348342 0.466696 0.652865 0.956026 1.546217
2025-12-14 0.202846 0.260151 0.339752 0.464240 0.666679 1.011380 1.728165
2025-12-21 0.190697 0.246923 0.326226 0.452699 0.663861 1.036674 1.856004
2025-12-28 0.186084 0.244006 0.327368 0.463849 0.700075 1.138786 2.183535
2026-01-04 0.180626 0.239438 0.325581 0.469914 0.727935 1.230010 2.521768
2026-01-11 0.174140 0.232925 0.320294 0.469556 0.743868 1.299910 2.835117
2026-01-18 0.165767 0.223361 0.309993 0.460405 0.743340 1.337359 3.083933
2026-01-25 0.157614 0.213768 0.299140 0.449535 0.738499 1.365265 3.322851
2026-02-01 0.150692 0.205694 0.290202 0.441242 0.737697 1.402522 3.616197
2026-02-08 0.144531 0.198484 0.282216 0.433950 0.737975 1.442557 3.947013
2026-02-15 0.139087 0.192128 0.275246 0.427912 0.740090 1.487834 4.332849
2026-02-22 0.136577 0.190244 0.275518 0.435230 0.771712 1.618575 5.205059
2026-03-01 0.132558 0.185760 0.271151 0.433380 0.782812 1.695947 5.909331
2026-03-08 0.128741 0.181428 0.266793 0.431172 0.792802 1.773076 6.710675
2026-03-15 0.123772 0.175032 0.258571 0.420789 0.782441 1.785992 7.144340
2026-03-22 0.122498 0.174585 0.260594 0.430820 0.822094 1.969142 9.046384
2026-03-29 0.120542 0.172920 0.260371 0.436271 0.851376 2.129001 11.182891